The Score Prediction engine uses a data modelling approach to provide pre-match and in-game probabilities (% chance of win, loss, draw) for each match.
The model produces a goal expectation value for each team prior to the game, which is essentially a measure of a teams underlying strength. During the match, the probabilities are updated in live according to the game state (score-line, time remaining and red cards).
About Score Predictions
The average wait to see the first match goal at Brazil 2014 is just 29.8 mins so far - at World Cup 2010 it was 40.4!
In UEFA World Cup qualifying Portugal had the most shots on (86) and off target (99) - but it was Germany who scored the most goals (36)
Can Mexico take advantage of Croatia's defeat and steal 2nd place in Group A? They have a 46% chance at kick-off. Follow live: http://www.goaldifference.com/data-widgets/score-predictor
Eight of the last 12 opening matches at World Cups have produced one goal or less.
We'll have live in-play score predictions throughout the World Cup tournament - we currently have Croatia with a 6.1% chance of winning tonight